Um, how is anyone shocked?

Drudge's headline:

GALLUP's 'traditional' likely voter model shows Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain on Thursday, 49% to 47%, this is within poll's margin of error... Developing...

makes this seem like some giant shock. The talentless Obama has always scored 4-6 points lower in the election versus the polls before hand and all the polls over the last several weeks have been weighted heavily towards Democrats (some with 6%+ Democrats over Republicans.) Add to that how heavily these polling firms are in the tank for Obama and that explains a lot.

How Gallup released this one is more a mystery.

And don't forget, I'm seeing increased ad coverage by a worried Obama here in California. He shouldn't be spending a dime out here unless his internal polls are saying something dramatic.

"You go to an election with the populace you have."

Just paraphrasing Rumsfeld.

Jim Lindgren @ Volokh is talking about Obama's lead in the polls, which isn't surprising given his support to same. The money quote is the comment from Obvious:

The polls simply show that Americans, given the choice of two extremely bad candidates, will eventually make a bad choice.

Why is it we pick the evil of two lessers? McCain isn't what America needs but it's painfully obvious that Obama is worse (with FARC, Chavez, Hezbollah, Iran, and countless others pulling for him to boot).

Oh, and bonus on math. Obama has a 6% lead in the poll cited above. The poll weighed Democrats 6% more than Republicans. Coincidence?

HT Instapundit