Thursday, October 16, 2008

Um, how is anyone shocked?

Drudge's headline:
GALLUP's 'traditional' likely voter model shows Obama with a two-point advantage over McCain on Thursday, 49% to 47%, this is within poll's margin of error... Developing...
makes this seem like some giant shock. The talentless Obama has always scored 4-6 points lower in the election versus the polls before hand and all the polls over the last several weeks have been weighted heavily towards Democrats (some with 6%+ Democrats over Republicans.) Add to that how heavily these polling firms are in the tank for Obama and that explains a lot.

How Gallup released this one is more a mystery.

And don't forget, I'm seeing increased ad coverage by a worried Obama here in California. He shouldn't be spending a dime out here unless his internal polls are saying something dramatic.

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